Today's Picks

The Dodgers carry one of the deepest lineups in baseball into a number that sits a half run below where this matchup usually lands. Los Angeles hands the ball to a soft-contact lefty who lets hitters put it in play, and a Tampa Bay club that does real damage against left-handers gets first crack at him. Eight is a low bar for two offenses this capable, and we will take the runs.

Both starters are among the better arms going tonight, and both miss bats at a high rate. Boston has been one of the quietest offenses in the league at home this year, and Toronto brings a road bat that has scratched for under four runs a night. With two pitchers who can carry a low-scoring game deep into the night, seven and a half is more room than this one usually needs.

The same matchup, tightened to the part we trust most. Through five innings this is purely a duel between the two starters, and both have the swing-and-miss stuff to keep the early frames quiet before either bullpen enters. Three and a half over the first five, at even money, is a number we are glad to take under.

Two home favorites we like, paired together to turn short prices into a number worth chasing. New York draws a White Sox starter whose results fall off sharply away from home, and the Yankees should get to him in the Bronx. Atlanta runs out one of the best bullpens in baseball behind a lineup that just got healthier, against a San Francisco club that has struggled to score on the road. Lay nothing, just ask both to win.