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Daily Picks Analysis
NFL / October 13, 2026
NFL Week 5 Recaps
Every Week 5 NFL game with the numbers that decided it, plus all 32 teams with strength of schedule, projected record and a luck index.
College Football / October 13, 2026
College Football Week 6: Every Game, Every Number
All 58 Week 6 games with the numbers that decided them, plus every FBS team with strength of schedule, projected record and a luck index.
CFB / October 10, 2026
Four Dogs, a Favorite and a Half
Six plays: UCF +10.5, UCLA +10.5, Tennessee-Arkansas over 51.5, Oregon State -16.5, Kentucky +8.5 and a JMU first half, Saturday, October 10.
CFB + NFL / October 8, 2026
Thursday Night Football and Arkansas State on the Moneyline
South Alabama allows 7.22 yards a play, second-most in FBS, and Dallas allows 6.46, the most in the NFL. Arkansas State ML and Cade Otton over 29.5 receiving yards, Thursday, October 8.
CFB / October 7, 2026
Two Plays, One Game, Both Sides of the Ball
Kennesaw State can't score on FBS teams and Jacksonville State can't stop the run. We played both sides of that Wednesday night in Kennesaw.
CFB / October 6, 2026
One Back Against the Worst Run Defense in the Country
Gavin Griffin over 68.5 rushing yards for Troy against a Southern Miss run defense allowing 235 yards a game, Tuesday, October 6.
NFL / October 5, 2026
Falcons With the Points and Three Props
Atlanta +2 at New Orleans with Penix back, plus overs on Bijan Robinson's rushing yards and Drake London and Chris Olave's receiving yards, Monday, October 5.
NFL / October 5, 2026
NFL Week 4 Recaps
Every Week 4 NFL game with the numbers that decided it, plus all 32 teams with strength of schedule, projected record and a luck index.
College Football / October 5, 2026
College Football Week 5: Every Game, Every Number
All 59 Week 5 games with the numbers that decided them, plus every FBS team with strength of schedule, projected record and a luck index.
NFL / October 4, 2026
Two Teasers, a First Half and a Small Parlay
Two teasers through the 3 and the 7, plus the 49ers first half against a Denver team that has trailed at halftime in every game.
College Football / October 3, 2026
Super Kamario, a Low Total and a Fast Start
Mississippi State +5.5 vs Alabama, Minnesota +6.5 vs Michigan and James Madison first half -10.5 vs Marshall, Saturday, October 3.
College Football / October 2, 2026
Home Dog With the Points
Northwestern +3 against Penn State in the first game at the new Ryan Field, Friday, October 2.
NFL + WNBA / October 1, 2026
Thursday Night Card: Browns +3, a Cleveland Companion, and a Game 3 Over
Browns +3 against the Steelers, Raheim Sanders over 11.5 receiving yards and the Fever/Aces Game 3 over 180.5 for Thursday, October 1.
NFL / September 27, 2026
Two Plays and a Parlay for Week 3
Bengals/Steelers Under 42.5, Buccaneers +1.5 against the Vikings and a Ravens/Saints moneyline parlay for Sunday of Week 3.
College Football / September 26, 2026
Five for Saturday
Five college football plays on Polymarket for Saturday: Virginia Tech/Boston College Under 47.5, Sam Houston +33.5, UCLA ML, Western Michigan +7.5 and Florida -2.5.
NFL / September 24, 2026
Penix Is Back and We're Catching Points at Lambeau
Michael Penix Jr. is back for an Atlanta offense that has not run a play inside the 20. We are taking Falcons +5.5 at Lambeau, plus two props in the same game.
CFB / September 19, 2026
Catching Points With Bill
North Carolina has allowed 13 points in two games and Clemson is starting a new quarterback. We bought the hook on the Tar Heels, plus three more for Saturday.
CFB / September 11, 2026
Home Dog in the Border War
Missouri visits Lawrence for the first time since 2005 and the number has come down all week. Kansas +5.5 at the best price on the board, plus a half unit on the over.
CFB / September 5, 2026
Fading Sun Belt Billy
Billy Napier's Sun Belt debut against a Liberty team that already knows what it is, plus five more tickets on the first full Saturday of the season.
CFB / September 4, 2026
Two Tickets in the MAC
The Toledo-Michigan State under at the number the market took away, and San Jose State +3 at Eastern Michigan. Rosters, coaches, and why these two.
CFB / September 4, 2026
Thursday Left Receipts
Eleven games graded. Colorado cashed outright, UMass shocked Rutgers, the dogs went 6-4, and the boxes that carry into Saturday.
CFB / September 3, 2026
Colorado +7 at Georgia Tech Opens the Week 1 Card
One bet to open Week 1, and it cashed outright: Colorado 14, Georgia Tech 13. No Haynes King, a rebuilt Buffs front seven, and a line that moved against the public.
CFB / August 31, 2026
Two replay calls and one of the worst beats you will ever see
Hawaii led 27-23 with four minutes left. Two reviews went Stanford's way, a fumble return ended it, and Alejado never came back out.
CFB / August 31, 2026
Week 0: The Eight Game Box Score Review
Eight games, every box score. What was real, what was noise, the disputed catch, and the watchlist for Week 1.
CFB / August 29, 2026
Football Is Back
Week 0 is here. Three tickets on the first college football card of the season: Hawaii getting points at Stanford, a big number in the Coliseum, and a plus-money parlay on two favorites.
NFL / August 27, 2026
Battle for Los Angeles
One play in the crosstown preseason finale. The Rams have covered eight straight preseason games, and I'm taking the 3.5 against the Chargers at SoFi.
MLB & NFL / August 20, 2026
Cole at Camden
One in baseball, one in the NFL preseason. Gerrit Cole at a pick'em price at Camden Yards, and the Chargers at PK against San Francisco.
MLB / August 18, 2026
Over and Over
Four totals tonight and every one of them is going Over. Miami and Philadelphia is my favorite play of the night.
MLB + WNBA / August 17, 2026
Quiet Night at Citi Field
A low total in Queens leads Monday's two-play card, with Gabby Williams on the WNBA prop.
5 min readOverall: 116-88-2, +19.12u
MLB + WNBA / August 12, 2026
Debut Night
A rookie's first career start in Washington, the softest matchup of the week in Anaheim, and the Valkyries anchor a plus-money parlay.
5 min readOverall: 114-86-2, +19.53u
MLB / August 11, 2026
Five Innings Is Enough
Four first-five bets on the Tuesday board. Not one of them needs a bullpen to hold anything.
5 min readOverall: 112-84-2, +19.58u
MLB / August 10, 2026
Dogs Are Barking
Four sides and a strikeout prop across three games. The Cardinals at even money lead the night.
6 min readOverall: 110-81-2, +20.49u
WNBA / August 9, 2026
One for Sunday
The Mystics go for seven straight at home against Phoenix. One play on the Sunday card.
5 min readOverall: 109-80-2, +20.70u
MLB / August 8, 2026
One Shot in Seattle
George Kirby against Casey Legumina in Seattle. One play on the Saturday card.
4 min readOverall: 109-79-2, +21.62u
MLB + WNBA / August 7, 2026
Six Before First Pitch
Cleveland leads a six-play Friday card with a WNBA home dog, a Fenway run line, an Eovaldi strikeout prop and two first-five plays.
7 min readOverall: 105-78-1, +18.03u
MLB / July 27, 2026
Plus Money in Queens
The Braves lead a four-play card with an over in Pittsburgh, a Reds team total and a run line in Miami.
6 min readOverall: 104-76-1, +19.14u
MLB / July 25, 2026
Skenes Takes the Ball, Five Plays Tonight
Paul Skenes anchors a five-play card with two moneylines and three strikeout props across five different games.
7 min readOverall: 101-74-1, +18.81u
MLB / July 22, 2026
Fireworks in Philly
Two full-game Overs, two first-five bets, and Toronto at home make up Wednesday's five-play MLB card.
7 min readOverall: 98-72-1, +17.92u
MLB / July 21, 2026
Dirty Water, Five Plays
Boston's 14-game streak washed out at Fenway and Pittsburgh never got going. Five plays stayed live, with the reasoning on every one.
7 min readOverall: 95-70-1, +17.37u
MLB / July 10, 2026
A Live Dog and Three Around It
Fifteen games and one that jumped out first: a plus-money underdog with the better starter. Boston led the card, with Baltimore, an Athletics-White Sox over, and a half-unit on Tampa Bay around it. Four plays, off a 3-0 Thursday.
2 min readOverall: 91-69, +14.91u
MLB / WNBA / June 24, 2026
Let the Aces Pitch
A pitching-led MLB trio plus two WNBA sides. Ohtani and Joe Ryan in the first five, a quiet park in San Francisco, a bullpen edge in Cincinnati, and two WNBA spreads with value. Five plays.
2 min readOverall: 77-60, +10.83u
MLB / June 23, 2026
Two Wild Arms in Queens
A short Tuesday board, and the card runs through one game. Cubs at Mets, where Kodai Senga and Edward Cabrera both fight their command. The over and the Chicago moneyline.
2 min readOverall: 75-60, +8.83u
MLB / June 22, 2026
Cole Is Back, and a Quiet Park in Miami
A thin Monday board, but three plays got there. Yankees moneyline behind Gerrit Cole, a low-total under in Miami, and a high-total over out in Anaheim.
3 min readOverall: 74-58, +10.10u
MLB / June 19, 2026
Two Aces, One Card
The board sets up cleanly Friday with two horses on the mound in great spots. deGrom in Texas and Misiorowski in Atlanta anchor the card, plus the strikeout upside.
3 min readOverall: 73-56, +11.07u
MLB / June 17, 2026
Backing the Better Arm
A short night slate after a full day of getaway games. Three moneylines, each built on the same idea: take the side with the better pitcher and the better price.
4 min readOverall: 72-54, +12.24u
Sweepstakes Casino
INDUSTRY / August 28, 2026
Same Owners, New Logos
Twenty new sweeps casinos launched this summer. Most are the same dozen companies. The ownership map, the terms to watch, and which sites earned a board spot.
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